Analysts counted 18 attempted coups around the world in 1966 and none at all in 2007 or 2018. According to CoupCast, a predictive model based on 68 economic and other variables, Africa is the only continent where the factors that foster coups are still fairly widespread (see map).
OEF Research News
Perhaps the most rigorous quantitative forecast of political upheaval comes from One Earth Future (oef), an ngo based in Colorado that publishes a predictive model, CoupCast.
How can remittances sent home by diaspora communities be channeled into impactful investments in fragile and conflict-affected countries? A new OEF Research paper explores the possibilities.
Inspired by real interviews with ex-combatants and FARC guerillas, this graphic novel tells the story of a fictional young couple who attempt to build their lives in the shadow of the Colombian peace process in 2016.
The plight of the youth across the continent has only got worse. Perhaps a solution could be derived through tackling an element of corruption often overlooked – illicit financial flows – in the different African jurisdictions.
“Humans are very bad at understanding statistical trends and long-term changes,” says political psychologist Conor Seyle, director of research at One Earth Future Foundation, a programme incubator that focuses on fostering peace long-term.
But new research we’ve conducted, which focuses on several African states – among them Nigeria, Cote d'Ivoire and Ethiopia – suggests there may be an alternative funding source that nations could harness during times of crisis: diaspora investment
Two weeks after Maduro's re-inauguration, opposition leader Juan Gauidó has declared himself the country's rightful president. The power struggle follows a failed military mutiny against Maduro, whose easy re-election in May 2018 during an economic, political, and humanitarian crisis has lead many to say Venezuela is a dictatorship.
Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni has ordered that no new licenses can be issued for established sports betting, gaming, and gambling companies. In addition, permits issued to existing firms will not be renewed when they expire.
OEF Research releases an update on elections and new leaders in every country each and every month.