OEF Research releases an update on elections and new leaders in every country each and every month. Two key elections are set to be held in the month of August. Guatemala will hold a presidential runoff round on August 11th, and Nauru will hold a parliamentary election on August 24th.
OEF Research News
These political rivalries amid transition, a presidential election and poor economic prospects for the general population, point to a heightened risk of a coup event within the next six months.
There are a wide variety of factors that determine the success of a diaspora bond, but as a report by OEF Research points out, these features largely fall into two categories.
The One Earth Future foundation notes, for example, that: “the African continent will be forced to face negative challenges with negative AI” due to weak governments and social divisions.
In this episode, we'll discuss Sudan's future and potential next steps for the popular uprising. Under what circumstances will the military share or give power to a civilian government? Join the conversation.
As scholars of armed conflict, we believe that such reforms are likely to be put on hold following this episode of government repression. The findings from our forthcoming research on coups around the world suggest that this state-sponsored brutality may just be the start of a more deadly crackdown.
What are the likelihoods for coup events in 2019? A new report from OEF takes an in-depth look.
Analysts counted 18 attempted coups around the world in 1966 and none at all in 2007 or 2018. According to CoupCast, a predictive model based on 68 economic and other variables, Africa is the only continent where the factors that foster coups are still fairly widespread (see map).
Perhaps the most rigorous quantitative forecast of political upheaval comes from One Earth Future (oef), an ngo based in Colorado that publishes a predictive model, CoupCast.
How can remittances sent home by diaspora communities be channeled into impactful investments in fragile and conflict-affected countries? A new OEF Research paper explores the possibilities.