This report focuses on institutions in Myanmar that might potentially be capable of developing components subject to the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) or the Hague Code of Conduct.
Due to the concealment efforts by the Myanmar military, it has been difficult independently to verify allegations about ballistic missile facilities through the examination of available satellite images and other open source information. Bearing this in mind, ONN has reached the following conclusions based on publicly available information:
The attempt by Myanmar to build ballistic missiles appears to be at a nascent stage as there is no information suggesting that it has successfully developed any such missiles.
The Directorate of Defence Industry (DDI) would likely be the main entity responsible for ballistic missile development should Myanmar decide to pursue domestic ballistic missile capabilities. Available satellite images and ground photos suggest that the Directorate has acquired some capabilities relevant to the development of solid-propellant land-attack rockets and short-range ballistic missiles. The ability of the Directorate to develop liquid-propellant ballistic missiles is unclear. The DDI factories most likely to be relevant to the development of ballistic missiles include Kapasa-22, Kapasa-14 and Kapasa-10.
According to information provided by the high-level defector Sai Thein Win and satellite images, attempts by the Directorate of Defence Services Science and Technology Research Centre to produce liquid-propellant ballistic missiles seem to have been unsuccessful. However, its current capability to develop ballistic missiles is unclear.