OEF in the Media

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June 28, 2019

West Africa quickly becoming a global piracy hotspot

Just over a week ago, One Earth Future published their annual Stable Seas program report detailing the state of global maritime piracy for the 9th year. Surprising findings include the fact that for the first year the Western Indian Ocean reported no hijackings including Somania, the Gulf of Aden an...
June 25, 2019

Rescuing multilateralism

The One Earth Future foundation notes, for example, that: “the African continent will be forced to face negative challenges with negative AI” due to weak governments and social divisions. In this context, European efforts to establish multilateral rules for technology governance may appeal to other ...
June 19, 2019

Piracy in West Africa: The world's most dangerous seas?

One Earth Future, which produces an annual State of Maritime Piracy, says that while attacks have been falling substantially in some regions of the world, in West Africa they've been on the rise and are now more frequent than anywhere else.
June 18, 2019

This is how the ex-combatants of the Farc live in Valle del Cauca

In fact, in the rural area of ​​Tuluá, a space has been established for coexistence between ex-combatants and victims of the conflict, which has become a model at the national level, with the support of entities such as the Peace Secretariat of the Valley, Undp and the Paso Colombia Foundation, amon...
June 15, 2019

Sudan and Algeria overthrow despots but not their political systems

Analysts counted 18 attempted coups around the world in 1966 and none at all in 2007 or 2018. According to CoupCast, a predictive model based on 68 economic and other variables, Africa is the only continent where the factors that foster coups are still fairly widespread (see map).
April 23, 2019

How to predict a coup

CoupCast finds that economic misery is linked to higher coup risk, as is extreme weather. But political factors matter more.
April 20, 2019

How to predict when a despot will fall

Perhaps the most rigorous quantitative forecast of political upheaval comes from One Earth Future (oef), an ngo based in Colorado that publishes a predictive model, CoupCast.
April 08, 2019

Nigeria: Obangame Express - Protecting the Gulf of Guinea

On Wednesday, handling the panel on ’Regional threat assessment’ were Dr. Bell of Stable Seas; Mr. Sernia of UNODC and Ms. Kirillas of Interpol. The next panel was on 'commercial shipping operations in the GoG and this was handled by Mr. Large of BIMCO; Mr. Gibson of Shell-OCIMF; Captain Escarras an...
March 21, 2019

The Forgotten Key to Maritime Security in the Sulu-Celebes Seas

Jay Benson is a Senior Researcher with OEF Research, a nonprofit research organization focused on issues of international conflict and governance. His work concentrates on maritime security, peacekeeping operations, and civilian protection. This article is derived from his research with Stable Seas,...