Some argue that climate change effects pose one of the greatest risks for political violence, and others argue there is no relationship whatsoever. A new study shows that there is gray area between the two sides, and offers policy implications for international donors.
Key Findings
- Conflict brought on by scarcity of resources does occur, under very specific circumstances.
- International donors must prioritize adaptation projects and be sensitive to the risks of political violence as they relate to extreme weather events.
- Violent civil conflict in sub-Saharan Africa has been more likely after severe drought in middle-income countries than in the poorest states.
- International donors should consider local and traditional adaptation strategies, which can reduce conflict risks during severe weather.