Research & Analysis

Preliminary Analysis of 30 September 2021 Anti-Aircraft Missile Test of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
By Tianran Xu on October 2, 2021

On 1 October 2021, the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) reported that the Academy of Defence Science tested a newly developed anti-aircraft missile (see Attachment). The test, which took place on 30 September, also marked the fourth missile test of the DPRK within the same month.

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The first DPRK missile launch from a rail-mobile launcher
By Tianran Xu, Jaewoo Shin, Katsuhisa Furukawa on September 17, 2021

The piece analyses the two ballistic missile launches from a rail-mobile launcher that the DPRK conducted on 15 September 2021.

By Tianran Xu on September 14, 2021

Briefing on the test launches of the "new type long-range cruise missile" on 11 and 12 September 2021 September 2021 in the DPRK.

Assessment of the Impact of August 2021 Rainfall and Flooding in the DPRK
By Tianran Xu, Katsuhisa Furukawa, Veronika Bedenko, Jaewoo Shin on September 13, 2021

Analysis of the damage caused by heavy rainfall and flooding in August 2021 in the DPRK.

Ballistic missile and rocket institutions in Taiwan, China
By Xu Tianran on September 8, 2021

This report is the first in a series of reports on ballistic missile/space launch vehicle development in the Republic of Korea, Japan and Taiwan, China, with a focus on institutions that are capable of producing components that could be subject to the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) or the Hague Code of Conduct.

Food Insecurity in the DPRK in 2021
By Katsuhisa Furukawa on August 17, 2021

The report analyses information available in the open source domain about the DPRK’s food insecurity.

ONN Monitoring Report: Activities Continue at the Abandoned 50 MWe Reactor at Yongbyon
By Veronika Bedenko on July 27, 2021

In the monitoring report on the 50 MWe Reactor at Yongbyon from 9 July 2021, ONN noted that the roof of one of the buildings adjacent to the main reactor hall had been removed.1 The scale of the reported activity appeared to be larger than the previously reported instances in 2018 and 2019. However, the nature of the recent activity remained unclear. ONN subsequently consulted a number of technical and satellite imagery analysis experts in an effort to identify what the recent activity could mean.

New Constructions at the Chamjin Missile Factory
By Xu Tianran on July 26, 2021

The Chamjin Missile Factory, also known as the Thaesong Machine Plant, is an important facility for ballistic missile production in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK). Recent satellite imagery shows new construction activities on the premises of the factory’s main compound.

Continued construction at Yusang-ni missile base
By Matthew Frank on July 26, 2021

This report is part of our ongoing monitoring project of the Korean Peninsula. This report specifically documents ongoing construction activities at the Yusang-ni missile base in North Korea, which is located approximately 60 kilometers north of Pyongyang. Yusang-ni missile base is suspected of hosting several types of intercontinental ballistic missile systems.

Termination of the Revised ROK Missile Guidelines: Assessment of China’s and the DPRK’s Reactions
By Xu Tianran on July 26, 2021

During the State visit of the President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Moon Jae-in to Washington, D.C. in May 2021, the United States agreed to terminate the 1979 Missile Guidelines.

The 42-year-old guidelines initially limited the range of the ROK’s ballistic missiles to 180 km and their payload to no more than 500 kg. The guidelines were revised in 2001 and 2012, allowing the ROK to develop missiles with ranges of 300 km and 800 km respectively. In 2017, the 500 kg cap for ballistic missile payload was also removed.