Research & Analysis Reports

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How Human Biases and Decision Processes Affect Risk Reduction Outcomes

Chapter Seven from the Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2022 published by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

June 09, 2022

Factors Related to Past DPRK Nuclear Tests

In light of recent analyses about a possible next nuclear weapon test by the DPRK, ONN has compiled data related to each of the six previous nuclear weapon tests of the DPRK, specifically the timing of the previous tests, nuclear test site preparations, launch vehicle development, environmental factors and the political context. These factors may assist in assessing when a next test might take place.

May 13, 2022

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Katsuhisa Furukawa

March 28, 2022

Developments at the DPRK's Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site since December 2021

Since December 2021, new developments have been observed at the Punggye-ri nuclear test site of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), showing that the DPRK has reactivated, or is in the process of reactivating, some parts of this nuclear weapon test site. This includes probable restorati...

Tianran Xu

March 25, 2022

24 March 2022 DPRK ICBM Test

On 24 March 2022, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) conducted an apparent full-range test of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). This was the first such test since November 2017 and marked the end of the DPRK's ICBM and nuclear test moratorium.

Jaewoo Shin

March 10, 2022

South Korea's New President-Elect Yoon Suk-yeol

The conservative People Power Party's candidate Yoon Suk-yeol narrowly won South Korea's presidential election on 9 March 2022 with a final voting count of 48.56% of the electorate. His main opponent, Democratic Party's Lee Jae-myung, received 47.83% of the votes. Lee conceded defeat in the early mo...

Hans Hogrefe

Sahana Dharmapuri

Cassandra Zavislak

February 10, 2022

Our Secure Future Policy Brief Focuses on the Inclusion of Women in the National Defense Authorization Act for 2022

Congress is currently discussing the inclusion of women in the current NDAA. Read the OSF brief summary of specific references to the inclusion of women in the National Defense Authorization Act for FY 2022 (NDAA, P.L. 117-81).

Tianran Xu

February 01, 2022

January 2022: Missile Tests of the DPRK

Except for the fourth nuclear test in 2016, January has traditionally been a calm month in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK). However, a total of seven missile tests made January 2022 the busiest calendar month in the country's history of missile testing. The launch of a Hwasong-12 in...

Tianran Xu

January 14, 2022

Analysis of the 11 January 2022 Hypersonic Missile Test of the DPRK

State media of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) reported on 12 January 2022 that the Academy of Defence Science had tested a hypersonic missile on 11 January 2022. This is the first missile launch in which DPRK leader Kim Jong Un has been officially confirmed as having been present s...

Katsuhisa Furukawa

January 14, 2022

The 4th Plenary Meeting of 8th Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea

The 4th Plenary Meeting of the 8th Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea (WPK) was held in Pyongyang from 27 to 31 December 2021. This paper provides a description of the Central Committee and its mandate, key takeaways from the meeting and concluding observations.

Tianran Xu

January 07, 2022

ONN Brief: Analysis on the 5 January 2022 Hypersonic Missile Test of the DPRK

State media of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) reported on 6 January 2022 that the Academy of Defence Science had tested a hypersonic missile on 5 January 2022. This is an initial analysis based on available information.

Tianran Xu

January 05, 2022

Constraints and Outlook: Future Deployment of DPRK Ballistic Missile Submarines

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) has been developing nuclear-capable submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) and ballistic missile submarines. While numerous articles about the test launch activities and the ballistic missile submarines exist, there appears to be a lack of disc...

Katsuhisa Furukawa

December 03, 2021

Construction Activities Near Chamjin Missile Factory and Suspected Uranium Enrichment Site in Kangson

In 2020 and 2021, new construction work was observed in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) near the Chamjin missile factory and the site of the suspected uranium enrichment facility in Kangson. The Chamjin missile factory is one of the key factories of the DPRK's defence sector and has...

Tianran Xu

November 26, 2021

Institutions Relevant to Ballistic Missile Development in Myanmar

This report focuses on institutions in Myanmar that might potentially be capable of developing components subject to the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) or the Hague Code of Conduct.

Tianran Xu

October 20, 2021

Brief on the 19 October 2021 Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile Test of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea

On 20 October 2021, the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) reported that the DPRK's Defence Science Institute had conducted a test of a new submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) on 19 October. This is a preliminary brief on the test launch.

Tianran Xu

October 18, 2021

Brief on the Defence Development Exhibition of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea

On 11 October 2021, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) held a defence development exhibition entitled "Self-Defence-2021" in Pyongyang to celebrate the 76th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea (WPK). In the exhibition, a wide variety of weapons was displayed, r...

Tianran Xu

October 12, 2021

Update on Preliminary Analysis of 30 September 2021 Anti-Aircraft Missile Test of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea

On 1 October 2021, ONN published a preliminary analysis of the DPRK’s 30 September 2021 anti-aircraft missile test.

October 01, 2021

Preliminary Analysis of 30 September 2021 Anti-Aircraft Missile Test of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea

On 1 October 2021, the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) reported that the Academy of Defence Science tested a newly developed anti-aircraft missile (see Attachment). The test, which took place on 30 September, also marked the fourth missile test o...