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April 23, 2019

How to predict a coup

CoupCast finds that economic misery is linked to higher coup risk, as is extreme weather. But political factors matter more.
April 20, 2019

How to predict when a despot will fall

Perhaps the most rigorous quantitative forecast of political upheaval comes from One Earth Future (oef), an ngo based in Colorado that publishes a predictive model, CoupCast.
April 08, 2019

Nigeria: Obangame Express - Protecting the Gulf of Guinea

On Wednesday, handling the panel on ’Regional threat assessment’ were Dr. Bell of Stable Seas; Mr. Sernia of UNODC and Ms. Kirillas of Interpol. The next panel was on 'commercial shipping operations in the GoG and this was handled by Mr. Large of BIMCO; Mr. Gibson of Shell-OCIMF; Captain Escarras an...
March 21, 2019

The Forgotten Key to Maritime Security in the Sulu-Celebes Seas

Jay Benson is a Senior Researcher with OEF Research, a nonprofit research organization focused on issues of international conflict and governance. His work concentrates on maritime security, peacekeeping operations, and civilian protection. This article is derived from his research with Stable Seas,...
March 19, 2019

For lack of boats, illegal fishing keeps flourishing

The One Earth Future Secure Fisheries programme attributed this to the low number of vessels with the capacity to patrol exclusive economic zones. “This is troubling since MDA is vital to combating illegal fishing, fisheries-related conflict, creating maritime security and developing blue economy,” ...
Jay Benson
Joshua Lambert
Eric Keels
March 15, 2019

Reassessing Rebellion

Though historically the number of armed conflicts has been declining, there has been a recent surge in ongoing civil wars. Intrastate armed conflicts therefore represent a persistent and dangerous threat to global stability.
Alexandra Amling
Timothy Schommer
Illustrator: Chloé Dolic
March 06, 2019

Peace is Ours: A Story of Peace and Reconciliation in Colombia

PASO Colombia facilitates sustainable peace by developing collaboration platforms that successfully mobilize the local intelligence and resources of remote rural communities, and connects them with national and international institutional knowledge, capital, and markets.
March 01, 2019

How brain biases prevent climate action

“Humans are very bad at understanding statistical trends and long-term changes,” says political psychologist Conor Seyle, director of research at One Earth Future Foundation, a programme incubator that focuses on fostering peace long-term.