OEF in the Media

Thought leadership from OEF experts and leaders

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April 23, 2019

How to predict a coup

CoupCast finds that economic misery is linked to higher coup risk, as is extreme weather. But political factors matter more.
April 20, 2019

How to predict when a despot will fall

Perhaps the most rigorous quantitative forecast of political upheaval comes from One Earth Future (oef), an ngo based in Colorado that publishes a predictive model, CoupCast.
April 18, 2019

What does N. Korea's latest weapons test mean?

North Korea says it's test-fired a new type of tactical guided weapon. It's the country's first public weapons test since the February summit between Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump collapsed with no agreement.
April 08, 2019

Nigeria: Obangame Express - Protecting the Gulf of Guinea

On Wednesday, handling the panel on ’Regional threat assessment’ were Dr. Bell of Stable Seas; Mr. Sernia of UNODC and Ms. Kirillas of Interpol. The next panel was on 'commercial shipping operations in the GoG and this was handled by Mr. Large of BIMCO; Mr. Gibson of Shell-OCIMF; Captain Escarras an...
March 21, 2019

The Forgotten Key to Maritime Security in the Sulu-Celebes Seas

Jay Benson is a Senior Researcher with OEF Research, a nonprofit research organization focused on issues of international conflict and governance. His work concentrates on maritime security, peacekeeping operations, and civilian protection. This article is derived from his research with Stable Seas,...
March 19, 2019

For lack of boats, illegal fishing keeps flourishing

The One Earth Future Secure Fisheries programme attributed this to the low number of vessels with the capacity to patrol exclusive economic zones. “This is troubling since MDA is vital to combating illegal fishing, fisheries-related conflict, creating maritime security and developing blue economy,” ...
March 19, 2019

North Korea rebuilding rocket sites: What does this mean?

Melissa Hanham from One Earth Future, who worked with him, said “there's a huge warehouse and it's hard to really monitor all the activity going on. But we could see lots of trucks and heavy vehicles in the parking lot going in and out - those trucks are big enough to hold a missile or a rocket.”
March 10, 2019

Kim Jong Un Inspects North Korean Submarine That May Be Deployed Soon

“They don’t show us the portion where a missile tube or more might go,” said Melissa Hanham, an expert on weapons of mass destruction and director of the One Earth Future Foundation’s Datayo Project. “Until they show us the top part of the submarine, we won’t really get a chance to see how many meta...