Research reports and analysis

Elin Bergner

Nikita Degtyarev

September 07, 2022

Assessment of the Impact of June and July 2022 Rainfall and Flooding in the DPRK: Warnings from First Monsoon Season Damage

Between late June and mid-July 2022, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) experienced heavy rainfall and flooding after having suffered severe drought from April through June 2022. The southwestern region - an important agricultural production base for the country - was significantly aff...

Elin Bergner

August 18, 2022

DPRK's Declared COVID-19 Victory and Implications for a Next Nuclear Test

On 10 August 2022, Kim Jong Un declared "victory" over the COVID-19 epidemic at the "National meeting of reviewing the emergency anti-epidemic work", while Kim Yo Jong reiterated previous North Korean claims that the virus had entered the country from South Korea and threatened to wipe out the South...

Cori Fleser

August 15, 2022

"Beyond munitions: A gender analysis for Ukrainian security assistance"

Our Secure Future partnered with the Atlantic Council on an issue brief focusing on the gender analysis for Ukrainian security assistance.

Tianran Xu

July 25, 2022

Emerging Capabilities? The Unflown SLBMs of the DPRK

In its October 2020, January 2021 and April 2022 military parades, the DPRK displayed three types of large submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs): the Pukguksong-4ㅅ, the Pukguksong-5ㅅand an unnamed SLBM, respectively. To date, none of these SLBMs have been flight tested and their developmenta...

Dr. Conor Seyle

Roberto Chavarria

July 12, 2022

Incubating Peace

One Earth Future’s approach to incubating and scaling programs for sustainable peace

This brief introduces our strategy and plans with the goal of sharing strategic learnings. We hope that it will also spur reflection and discussion of our plans and best practices in the field. It explores One Earth Future’s thinking in considerable depth, describes our approach to planning, scoping...

Hans Hogrefe

Cassandra Zavislak

June 23, 2022

From the Trump to the Biden Administration: The Women, Peace and Security Agenda

This brief outlines the main WPS developments from the Trump to the Biden Administration. There were some significant changes made by the Biden Administration pertaining to gender policy and coordination in general, which likely will also have implications for WPS going forward.

Tianran Xu

June 17, 2022

Backgrounder: Previous DPRK Nuclear Tests

The DPRK has conducted six nuclear tests, each of which took place within months of long-range rocket or satellite launches. In anticipation of a possible seventh nuclear test, information on the first six tests has been compiled in this backrounder.

Dr. Conor Seyle

June 09, 2022

How Human Biases and Decision Processes Affect Risk Reduction Outcomes

Chapter Seven from the Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2022 published by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Elin Bergner

June 08, 2022

Update: The DPRK's COVID-19 Outbreak & Implications for a Possible Next Nuclear Test

In a previous publication dated 16 May 2022, ONN reported on the outbreak of COVID-19 in the DPRK. Subsequent developments indicate that the regime may be prioritizing actions to return to normalcy, or the appearance of normalcy, in the country. This could indicate that the regime is preparing for a...

Elin Bergner

May 16, 2022

The DPRK's COVID-19 Outbreak & Implications for a Possible Next Nuclear Test

On 12 May 2022, the DPRK confirmed an outbreak of COVID-19, which is highly likely to have significant impacts on the DPRK's domestic and foreign policies.

To Top