Publications and Analyses

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Ankit Panda
July 07, 2020

Why the "Old Normal" Along the Sino-Indian Border Can No Longer Stand

China's fait accompli in Eastern Ladakh has disintegrated more than two decades of bilateral mechanisms and understandings
By the time 20 Indian soldiers had died and a still-unknown number of Chinese soldiers faced casualties after a high-altitude melee in the normally obscure Galwan Valley on June 15, India and China were already well into a border crisis. The events of June 15 simply had the effect of sharply raising...
Tianran Xu
June 30, 2020

Pyongyang's Bomb Is Not As Advanced As You May Think, But It Can Get Scarier

This article tries to give a general idea of the technological level of North Korean nuclear weapon’s miniaturization in a bid to better understand the nuclear threat North Korea poses to the region and the globe. Through examining limited open-source materials the author tries to establish a rough ...
Jee Abbey Lee
June 25, 2020

Explainer: Why "Leafleting" to North Korea Ruffles Feathers

Throughout the month of June, North Korea has shown increased hostility toward South Korea. Some of these efforts include re-installing loudspeakers along the Demilitarised Zone at one point before removing them, blowing up a joint liaison office in its territory and announcing plans for a massive a...
Clayton Besaw
May 22, 2020

Unpacking Russian Presidential Speech Patterns with Machine Learning

Natural language processing and topic modeling specifically have proliferated in accessibility over the past decade. Topic modeling algorithms such as Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) are now considered a type of "work-horse" tool for uncovering patterns (topics) in large sets of text data.
Melissa Hanham
Jaewoo Shin
May 21, 2020

Ethics in the Age of OSINT Innocence

Increased availability and lower cost of satellite imagery has made it accessible to civil society in recent years. While universities, think tanks, and nongovernmental organizations are racing ahead to incorporate this form of open source intelligence (OSINT) into their regular research work, there...
Jeffrey Glenn Lewis
May 14, 2020

Monitoring Iran's Solid Rocket Program from Space

On April 22, Iran placed a small satellite in orbit. The space launch was notable for two reasons. First, the launch was conducted by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC), not Iran's civilian space program. Second, the rocket used a new solid-propellant second stage (the Salman), which th...
Stanley Center for Peace and Security
Open Nuclear Network
July 01, 2019

The Gray Spectrum

Ethical Decision Making with Geospatial and Open Source Analysis
In July 2019, the Stanley Center for Peace and Security and Open Nuclear Network convened a workshop with nonproliferation experts, open source intelligence analysts, journalists and stakeholders from satellite imagery firms. The workshop asked participants to explore ethical challenges with their w...